EdgeTake

CF · MIN

Byron Buxton — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
52
Runs
40
Per Game
0.77
Projection
0.77
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 52 games this season, Byron Buxton (MIN) is averaging 0.77 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. 54% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.77 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +105 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -125 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Byron Buxton went over in 28 of 52 2026 games.

Our projection 0.77 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.27.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.528/5254%
1.59/5217%

Share of 2026 games Buxton finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.77

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.96
Away (27)
0.59
Home edge
+0.37

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL1Over
2026-03-28vs BAL1Over
2026-03-29vs BAL0Under
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC0Under
2026-04-02vs KC0Under
2026-04-03vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET2Over
2026-04-07vs DET1Over
2026-04-08vs DET3Over
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TOR1Over
2026-04-13vs BOS2Over
2026-04-14vs BOS4Over
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-19vs CIN2Over
2026-04-21vs NYM1Over
2026-04-22vs NYM1Over
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-24vs TB0Under
2026-04-25vs TB0Under
2026-04-27vs SEA1Over
2026-04-28vs SEA1Over
2026-04-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-30vs TOR2Over
2026-05-02vs TOR1Over
2026-05-02vs TOR1Over
2026-05-03vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH1Over
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-08vs CLE2Over
2026-05-09vs CLE1Over
2026-05-10vs CLE1Over
2026-05-12vs MIA1Over
2026-05-13vs MIA2Over
2026-05-19vs HOU1Over
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS1Over
2026-05-23vs BOS1Over
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS1Over
2026-05-27vs CWS1Over
2026-05-28vs CWS0Under
2026-05-29vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT2Over
2026-06-01vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Byron Buxton’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.