3B · BOS
Caleb Durbin — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 51 games this season, Caleb Durbin (BOS) is averaging 0.29 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 22% of games this season. Our projection of 0.41 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Caleb Durbin went over in 11 of 51 2026 games.
Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/51 | 22% |
| 1.5 | 3/51 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Durbin finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Caleb Durbin’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.