SS · TB
Carson Williams — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carson Williams (TB) has averaged 0.33 hits per game across 9 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.33. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. We project 0.37, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -130 at DraftKings — model 61% to hit, +8.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Carson Williams went over in 3 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/9 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Williams finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carson Williams’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.