SS · TB
Carson Williams — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carson Williams (TB) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our projection of 0.1 comes in under the market line of 1.5.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Carson Williams went over in 0 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.4.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Williams finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carson Williams’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.