SS · TB
Carson Williams — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carson Williams (TB) has averaged 0.44 total bases per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.44 over the last 10. 33% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.84, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 +105 at Caesars — model 47% to hit, -4.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Carson Williams went over in 3 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.34.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/9 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 1/9 | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Williams finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carson Williams’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.