DH · SF
Casey Schmitt — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Casey Schmitt (SF) has averaged 0.23 home runs per game across 53 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.3 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 21% of games. Our model projects 0.16, below the market line of 1.15.
Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Casey Schmitt went over in 11 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.16 vs market line 1.15 — edge -0.99.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/53 | 21% |
Share of 2026 games Schmitt finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Casey Schmitt’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.