DH · SF
Casey Schmitt — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Casey Schmitt (SF) has averaged 0.51 runs per game across 53 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 32% of games this season. We project 0.43, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Casey Schmitt went over in 17 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/53 | 32% |
| 1.5 | 8/53 | 15% |
Share of 2026 games Schmitt finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Casey Schmitt’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.