CF · BOS
Ceddanne Rafaela — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 54 games this season, Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) is averaging 0.11 stolen bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 9% of games this season. We project 0.14, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Ceddanne Rafaela went over in 5 of 54 2026 games.
Our projection 0.14 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.36.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/54 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Rafaela finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ceddanne Rafaela’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.