CF · BOS
Ceddanne Rafaela — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 54 games this season, Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) is averaging 1.57 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.8. They've gone over 1.5 in 43% of those games. Our projection of 1.94 sits above the market line of 1.48.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +118 at Caesars — model 44% to hit, -3.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Ceddanne Rafaela went over in 23 of 54 2026 games.
Our projection 1.94 vs market line 1.48 — edge +0.46.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 39/54 | 72% |
| 1.5 | 23/54 | 43% |
| 2.5 | 10/54 | 19% |
| 3.5 | 7/54 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Rafaela finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ceddanne Rafaela’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.