EdgeTake

3B · STL

César Prieto — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
6
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.09
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

César Prieto (STL) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 6 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. 0% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.09 comes in under the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), César Prieto went over in 0 of 6 2026 games.

Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1 — edge -0.91.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/60%

Share of 2026 games Prieto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 6 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 6 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (2)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-06vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs PIT0Under
2026-05-20vs PIT0Under
2026-05-22vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See César Prieto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.