EdgeTake

2B · COL

Chad Stevens — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
9
Hits
1
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.31
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Chad Stevens (COL) has averaged 0.11 hits per game across 9 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.11. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 11% of games this season. We project 0.31, short of the 0.63 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -169 at DraftKings — model 43% to hit, -31.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -169 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +130 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Chad Stevens went over in 1 of 9 2026 games.

Our projection 0.31 vs market line 0.63 — edge -0.32.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/911%
1.50/90%
2.50/90%

Share of 2026 games Stevens finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 9 avg
0.11
Season avg
0.11

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 9 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (7)
0.14
Home edge
-0.14

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ1Over
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chad Stevens’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.