EdgeTake

2B · COL

Chad Stevens — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
9
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Chad Stevens (COL) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.08, short of the 0.83 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Chad Stevens went over in 0 of 9 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.75.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/90%

Share of 2026 games Stevens finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 9 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 9 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (7)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chad Stevens’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.