2B · COL
Chad Stevens — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Chad Stevens (COL) has averaged 0.11 runs per game across 9 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.11. They've gone over 0.5 in 11% of those games. Our model projects 0.34, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Chad Stevens went over in 1 of 9 2026 games.
Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/9 | 11% |
| 1.5 | 0/9 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Stevens finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 9 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chad Stevens’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.