C · ATL
Chadwick Tromp — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Chadwick Tromp (ATL) sits at 0.45 hits per game through 11 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.4 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 36% of games. We project 0.72, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +110 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, -0.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Chadwick Tromp went over in 4 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.72 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.22.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/11 | 36% |
| 1.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
| 2.5 | 0/11 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Tromp finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chadwick Tromp’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.