LF · TB
Chandler Simpson — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Chandler Simpson (TB) has averaged 1.11 hits per game across 57 games this season, tracking close to that at 1 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 33% of games. Our projection of 0.96 comes in under the market line of 1.12.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -225 at BetMGM — model 71% to hit, +2.8% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Chandler Simpson went over in 19 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.96 vs market line 1.12 — edge -0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40/57 | 70% |
| 1.5 | 19/57 | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4/57 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Simpson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chandler Simpson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.