EdgeTake

LF · TB

Chandler Simpson — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Stolen Bases
14
Per Game
0.25
Projection
0.23
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Chandler Simpson (TB) has averaged 0.25 stolen bases per game across 57 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 21% of games. Our projection of 0.23 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +310 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -525 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Chandler Simpson went over in 12 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.23 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.27.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.512/5721%

Share of 2026 games Simpson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.25

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.28
Away (28)
0.21
Home edge
+0.06

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL0Under
2026-03-28vs STL0Under
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIL1Over
2026-03-31vs MIL1Over
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-03vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIN0Under
2026-04-05vs MIN0Under
2026-04-06vs CHC2Over
2026-04-07vs CHC0Under
2026-04-08vs CHC1Over
2026-04-10vs NYY0Under
2026-04-11vs NYY1Over
2026-04-12vs NYY1Over
2026-04-14vs CWS0Under
2026-04-15vs CWS0Under
2026-04-16vs CWS0Under
2026-04-17vs PIT0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT0Under
2026-04-19vs PIT0Under
2026-04-20vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN0Under
2026-04-24vs MIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN1Over
2026-04-26vs MIN1Over
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE1Over
2026-04-29vs CLE1Over
2026-05-01vs SF0Under
2026-05-02vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs SF0Under
2026-05-04vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs TOR1Over
2026-05-06vs TOR0Under
2026-05-07vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS0Under
2026-05-11vs TOR2Over
2026-05-13vs TOR0Under
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIA0Under
2026-05-17vs MIA0Under
2026-05-18vs BAL0Under
2026-05-19vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY0Under
2026-05-24vs NYY0Under
2026-05-25vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs BAL0Under
2026-05-27vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-30vs LAA0Under
2026-05-31vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET0Under
2026-06-02vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chandler Simpson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.