EdgeTake

LF · TB

Chandler Simpson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Total Bases
75
Per Game
1.32
Projection
1.22
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Chandler Simpson (TB) is averaging 1.32 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.2. The over on 1.5 has hit in 37% of games. Our projection of 1.22 comes in under the market line of 1.45.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -160 at BetMGM — model 64% to hit, +4.0% EV.

Over 1.5 +136 CaesarsUnder 1.5 -160 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Chandler Simpson went over in 21 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 1.22 vs market line 1.45 — edge -0.23.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.540/5770%
1.521/5737%
2.58/5714%
3.55/579%

Share of 2026 games Simpson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.32

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
1.17
Away (28)
1.46
Home edge
-0.29

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL1Under
2026-03-28vs STL2Over
2026-03-29vs STL2Over
2026-03-30vs MIL1Under
2026-03-31vs MIL4Over
2026-04-01vs MIL2Over
2026-04-03vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIN2Over
2026-04-05vs MIN1Under
2026-04-06vs CHC2Over
2026-04-07vs CHC2Over
2026-04-08vs CHC1Under
2026-04-10vs NYY1Under
2026-04-11vs NYY1Under
2026-04-12vs NYY5Over
2026-04-14vs CWS1Under
2026-04-15vs CWS0Under
2026-04-16vs CWS0Under
2026-04-17vs PIT1Under
2026-04-18vs PIT2Over
2026-04-19vs PIT1Under
2026-04-20vs CIN2Over
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN1Under
2026-04-24vs MIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN0Under
2026-04-26vs MIN3Over
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE2Over
2026-04-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-01vs SF1Under
2026-05-02vs SF1Under
2026-05-03vs SF0Under
2026-05-04vs TOR1Under
2026-05-05vs TOR2Over
2026-05-06vs TOR1Under
2026-05-07vs BOS4Over
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS0Under
2026-05-11vs TOR3Over
2026-05-13vs TOR0Under
2026-05-15vs MIA4Over
2026-05-16vs MIA1Under
2026-05-17vs MIA0Under
2026-05-18vs BAL2Over
2026-05-19vs BAL1Under
2026-05-20vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY2Over
2026-05-24vs NYY0Under
2026-05-25vs BAL4Over
2026-05-26vs BAL3Over
2026-05-27vs BAL1Under
2026-05-29vs LAA1Under
2026-05-30vs LAA0Under
2026-05-31vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET1Under
2026-06-02vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chandler Simpson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.