DH · MIL
Christian Yelich — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Christian Yelich (MIL) sits at 0.13 home runs per game through 30 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 13% of games this season. We project 0.2, short of the 1.18 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Christian Yelich went over in 4 of 30 2026 games.
Our projection 0.2 vs market line 1.18 — edge -0.98.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/30 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Yelich finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christian Yelich’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.