EdgeTake

DH · MIL

Christian Yelich — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
30
Total Bases
51
Per Game
1.70
Projection
2.04
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Christian Yelich (MIL) sits at 1.7 total bases per game through 30 games, tracking close to that at 1.6 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 47% of games. Our projection of 2.04 sits above the market line of 1.47.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +134 at Caesars — model 44% to hit, +2.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +134 CaesarsUnder 1.5 -179 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Christian Yelich went over in 14 of 30 2026 games.

Our projection 2.04 vs market line 1.47 — edge +0.57.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/3057%
1.514/3047%
2.59/3030%
3.57/3023%

Share of 2026 games Yelich finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.60
Season avg
1.70

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
1.53
Away (13)
1.92
Home edge
-0.39

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS2Over
2026-03-28vs CWS3Over
2026-03-29vs CWS4Over
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB2Over
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs KC2Over
2026-04-05vs KC5Over
2026-04-06vs BOS4Over
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS1Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN4Over
2026-05-18vs CHC6Over
2026-05-19vs CHC2Over
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL5Over
2026-05-26vs STL4Over
2026-05-27vs STL1Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU1Under
2026-05-31vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF3Over
2026-06-02vs SF2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christian Yelich’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.