1B · MIA
Christopher Morel — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Christopher Morel (MIA) has averaged 0.5 hits per game across 20 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.5 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 45% of games. Our projection of 0.57 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -120 at BetMGM — model 54% to hit, -1.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Christopher Morel went over in 9 of 20 2026 games.
Our projection 0.57 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 9/20 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 1/20 | 5% |
| 2.5 | 0/20 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Morel finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christopher Morel’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.