1B · MIA
Christopher Morel — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Christopher Morel (MIA) sits at 0 home runs per game through 20 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. The over on 2.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.09, short of the 1.5 market line.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Christopher Morel went over in 0 of 20 2026 games.
Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.41.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/20 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Morel finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christopher Morel’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.