1B · MIA
Christopher Morel — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Christopher Morel (MIA) sits at 0.65 total bases per game through 20 games, trending up to 0.8 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 45% of those games. Our model projects 0.99, roughly in line with the 1 market line.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 51% to hit, -3.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Christopher Morel went over in 9 of 20 2026 games.
Our projection 0.99 vs market line 1 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 9/20 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 4/20 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0/20 | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0/20 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Morel finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christopher Morel’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.