EdgeTake

SS · WSH

CJ Abrams — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Hits
65
Per Game
1.07
Projection
1.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 61 games this season, CJ Abrams (WSH) is averaging 1.07 hits per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.9 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 69% of games. Our model projects 1.08, a step above the market line of 0.65.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -225 at BetMGM — model 66% to hit, -4.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -225 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +176 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), CJ Abrams went over in 42 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 1.08 vs market line 0.65 — edge +0.43.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.542/6169%
1.519/6131%
2.54/617%

Share of 2026 games Abrams finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.07

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.97
Away (30)
1.17
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC1Over
2026-03-29vs CHC0Under
2026-03-30vs PHI2Over
2026-03-31vs PHI1Over
2026-04-01vs PHI1Over
2026-04-03vs LAD2Over
2026-04-04vs LAD1Over
2026-04-05vs LAD1Over
2026-04-06vs STL1Over
2026-04-07vs STL2Over
2026-04-08vs STL0Under
2026-04-10vs MIL2Over
2026-04-11vs MIL1Over
2026-04-12vs MIL2Over
2026-04-13vs PIT1Over
2026-04-14vs PIT3Over
2026-04-15vs PIT1Over
2026-04-16vs PIT1Over
2026-04-17vs SF1Over
2026-04-18vs SF0Under
2026-04-19vs SF0Under
2026-04-20vs ATL0Under
2026-04-21vs ATL0Under
2026-04-22vs ATL1Over
2026-04-23vs ATL1Over
2026-04-24vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-26vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs NYM1Over
2026-04-29vs NYM3Over
2026-04-30vs NYM2Over
2026-05-01vs MIL0Under
2026-05-02vs MIL1Over
2026-05-03vs MIL2Over
2026-05-05vs MIN0Under
2026-05-06vs MIN3Over
2026-05-07vs MIN0Under
2026-05-08vs MIA1Over
2026-05-09vs MIA2Over
2026-05-10vs MIA0Under
2026-05-12vs CIN2Over
2026-05-13vs CIN2Over
2026-05-14vs CIN0Under
2026-05-15vs BAL1Over
2026-05-16vs BAL3Over
2026-05-17vs BAL1Over
2026-05-18vs NYM2Over
2026-05-19vs NYM0Under
2026-05-20vs NYM2Over
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL2Over
2026-05-23vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-25vs CLE1Over
2026-05-26vs CLE1Over
2026-05-27vs CLE2Over
2026-05-29vs SD0Under
2026-05-30vs SD1Over
2026-05-31vs SD2Over
2026-06-01vs MIA1Over
2026-06-02vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See CJ Abrams’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.