EdgeTake

SS · WSH

CJ Abrams — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Runs
38
Per Game
0.62
Projection
0.62
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

CJ Abrams (WSH) sits at 0.62 runs per game through 61 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 51% of games. Our projection of 0.62 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +112 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), CJ Abrams went over in 31 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.62 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.531/6151%
1.57/6111%

Share of 2026 games Abrams finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.62

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.77
Away (30)
0.47
Home edge
+0.31

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC0Under
2026-03-29vs CHC0Under
2026-03-30vs PHI1Over
2026-03-31vs PHI1Over
2026-04-01vs PHI1Over
2026-04-03vs LAD1Over
2026-04-04vs LAD2Over
2026-04-05vs LAD1Over
2026-04-06vs STL1Over
2026-04-07vs STL0Under
2026-04-08vs STL0Under
2026-04-10vs MIL1Over
2026-04-11vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs MIL1Over
2026-04-13vs PIT1Over
2026-04-14vs PIT1Over
2026-04-15vs PIT0Under
2026-04-16vs PIT0Under
2026-04-17vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs SF0Under
2026-04-19vs SF0Under
2026-04-20vs ATL2Over
2026-04-21vs ATL0Under
2026-04-22vs ATL0Under
2026-04-23vs ATL1Over
2026-04-24vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-26vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs NYM0Under
2026-04-29vs NYM0Under
2026-04-30vs NYM1Over
2026-05-01vs MIL1Over
2026-05-02vs MIL0Under
2026-05-03vs MIL2Over
2026-05-05vs MIN0Under
2026-05-06vs MIN2Over
2026-05-07vs MIN0Under
2026-05-08vs MIA1Over
2026-05-09vs MIA1Over
2026-05-10vs MIA0Under
2026-05-12vs CIN0Under
2026-05-13vs CIN2Over
2026-05-14vs CIN0Under
2026-05-15vs BAL1Over
2026-05-16vs BAL2Over
2026-05-17vs BAL0Under
2026-05-18vs NYM1Over
2026-05-19vs NYM1Over
2026-05-20vs NYM2Over
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL1Over
2026-05-23vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-25vs CLE1Over
2026-05-26vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs CLE0Under
2026-05-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-30vs SD1Over
2026-05-31vs SD0Under
2026-06-01vs MIA1Over
2026-06-02vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See CJ Abrams’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.