EdgeTake

RF · ATH

Colby Thomas — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Total Bases
16
Per Game
0.89
Projection
1.57
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 18 games this season, Colby Thomas (ATH) is averaging 0.89 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.8. The over on 1.5 has hit in 22% of games. Our model projects 1.57, a step above the market line of 1.37.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +155 at BetRivers — model 39% to hit, -0.9% EV.

Over 1.5 +155 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -165 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Colby Thomas went over in 4 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 1.57 vs market line 1.37 — edge +0.2.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/1850%
1.54/1822%
2.52/1811%
3.51/186%

Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.89

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.91
Away (7)
0.86
Home edge
+0.05

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-25vs TEX1Under
2026-04-29vs KC1Under
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE1Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE4Over
2026-05-05vs PHI1Under
2026-05-06vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs BAL2Over
2026-05-14vs STL3Over
2026-05-14vs STL1Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA2Over
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colby Thomas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.