EdgeTake

SS · CWS

Colson Montgomery — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Home Runs
15
Per Game
0.25
Projection
0.27
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Colson Montgomery (CWS) has averaged 0.25 home runs per game across 60 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 25% of games this season. Our projection of 0.27 comes in under the market line of 1.18.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +320 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Colson Montgomery went over in 15 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.27 vs market line 1.18 — edge -0.91.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/6025%

Share of 2026 games Montgomery finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.25

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.27
Away (30)
0.23
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIL0Under
2026-03-28vs MIL0Under
2026-03-29vs MIL1Over
2026-03-30vs MIA0Under
2026-03-31vs MIA0Under
2026-04-01vs MIA0Under
2026-04-02vs TOR0Under
2026-04-04vs TOR1Over
2026-04-05vs TOR0Under
2026-04-06vs BAL0Under
2026-04-07vs BAL0Under
2026-04-08vs BAL0Under
2026-04-09vs KC0Under
2026-04-10vs KC0Under
2026-04-11vs KC0Under
2026-04-12vs KC1Over
2026-04-14vs TB0Under
2026-04-15vs TB0Under
2026-04-16vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH1Over
2026-04-19vs ATH1Over
2026-04-22vs AZ1Over
2026-04-23vs AZ1Over
2026-04-23vs AZ0Under
2026-04-24vs WSH0Under
2026-04-25vs WSH0Under
2026-04-26vs WSH0Under
2026-04-27vs LAA0Under
2026-04-28vs LAA1Over
2026-04-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-02vs SD1Over
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-05vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-08vs SEA0Under
2026-05-09vs SEA1Over
2026-05-10vs SEA0Under
2026-05-12vs KC0Under
2026-05-13vs KC1Over
2026-05-15vs CHC1Over
2026-05-16vs CHC1Over
2026-05-17vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SF0Under
2026-05-23vs SF0Under
2026-05-24vs SF0Under
2026-05-25vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs MIN0Under
2026-05-27vs MIN0Under
2026-05-28vs MIN0Under
2026-05-29vs DET0Under
2026-05-30vs DET1Over
2026-05-31vs DET1Over
2026-06-01vs MIN0Under
2026-06-02vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colson Montgomery’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.