EdgeTake

3B · SEA

Colt Emerson — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
15
Hits
13
Per Game
0.87
Projection
0.9
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Colt Emerson (SEA) sits at 0.87 hits per game through 15 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.1 over the last 10. 53% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.9 sits above the market line of 0.61.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, +2.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -125 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +118 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Colt Emerson went over in 8 of 15 2026 games.

Our projection 0.9 vs market line 0.61 — edge +0.29.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1553%
1.53/1520%
2.51/157%

Share of 2026 games Emerson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.87

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
0.67
Away (6)
1.17
Home edge
-0.50

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS1Over
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC1Over
2026-05-23vs KC0Under
2026-05-24vs KC4Over
2026-05-26vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH2Over
2026-05-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs AZ1Over
2026-05-31vs AZ1Over
2026-06-02vs NYM1Over
2026-06-03vs NYM2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colt Emerson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.