3B · SEA
Colt Emerson — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Colt Emerson (SEA) sits at 0.2 home runs per game through 15 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. Our projection of 0.13 comes in under the market line of 1.15.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Colt Emerson went over in 3 of 15 2026 games.
Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.15 — edge -1.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/15 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Emerson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colt Emerson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.