EdgeTake

3B · SEA

Colt Emerson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
15
Total Bases
28
Per Game
1.87
Projection
1.61
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Colt Emerson (SEA) sits at 1.87 total bases per game through 15 games, with recent form ahead of that at 2.3 over the last 10. 53% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 1.61 sits above the market line of 0.87.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, +6.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -125 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +104 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Colt Emerson went over in 8 of 15 2026 games.

Our projection 1.61 vs market line 0.87 — edge +0.74.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1553%
1.56/1540%
2.56/1540%
3.55/1533%

Share of 2026 games Emerson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.30
Season avg
1.87

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
1.78
Away (6)
2.00
Home edge
-0.22

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS4Over
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC1Over
2026-05-23vs KC0Under
2026-05-24vs KC7Over
2026-05-26vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH4Over
2026-05-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs AZ4Over
2026-05-31vs AZ1Over
2026-06-02vs NYM4Over
2026-06-03vs NYM3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colt Emerson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.