EdgeTake

RF · BAL

Colton Cowser — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Hits
25
Per Game
0.52
Projection
0.68
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 48 games this season, Colton Cowser (BAL) is averaging 0.52 hits per game, trending up to 0.8 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 46% of games. Our model projects 0.68, a step above the market line of 0.57.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 +107 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, -2.2% EV.

Over 0.5 +107 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -142 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Colton Cowser went over in 22 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.68 vs market line 0.57 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/4846%
1.53/486%
2.50/480%

Share of 2026 games Cowser finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.52

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.73
Away (22)
0.27
Home edge
+0.46

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIN0Under
2026-03-28vs MIN1Over
2026-03-30vs TEX1Over
2026-03-31vs TEX1Over
2026-04-01vs TEX1Over
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-04vs PIT0Under
2026-04-06vs CWS0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs SF2Over
2026-04-12vs SF1Over
2026-04-13vs AZ0Under
2026-04-14vs AZ1Over
2026-04-15vs AZ0Under
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-22vs KC2Over
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs BOS1Over
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-01vs NYY0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-04vs NYY1Over
2026-05-05vs MIA0Under
2026-05-07vs MIA0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH1Over
2026-05-12vs NYY0Under
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-17vs WSH1Over
2026-05-18vs TB0Under
2026-05-19vs TB1Over
2026-05-20vs TB1Over
2026-05-22vs DET1Over
2026-05-23vs DET0Under
2026-05-24vs DET1Over
2026-05-25vs TB1Over
2026-05-26vs TB1Over
2026-05-27vs TB1Over
2026-05-28vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR1Over
2026-05-30vs TOR1Over
2026-05-31vs TOR2Over
2026-06-02vs BOS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colton Cowser’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.