RF · BAL
Colton Cowser — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 48 games this season, Colton Cowser (BAL) is averaging 0.35 runs per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.7 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 31% of those games. We project 0.38, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Colton Cowser went over in 15 of 48 2026 games.
Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/48 | 31% |
| 1.5 | 2/48 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Cowser finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colton Cowser’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.