RF · SEA
Connor Joe — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 16 games this season, Connor Joe (SEA) is averaging 0.38 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 31% of those games. Our projection of 0.63 comes in under the market line of 1.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -105 at BetMGM — model 52% to hit, +0.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Connor Joe went over in 5 of 16 2026 games.
Our projection 0.63 vs market line 1 — edge -0.37.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/16 | 31% |
| 1.5 | 1/16 | 6% |
| 2.5 | 0/16 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Joe finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Connor Joe’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.