1B · MIA
Connor Norby — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 53 games this season, Connor Norby (MIA) is averaging 0.68 hits per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 55% of those games. Our projection of 0.61 comes in under the market line of 0.63.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -183 at DraftKings — model 54% to hit, -16.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Connor Norby went over in 29 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.63 — edge -0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/53 | 55% |
| 1.5 | 7/53 | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0/53 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Norby finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Connor Norby’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.