EdgeTake

C · BOS

Connor Wong — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
22
Runs
8
Per Game
0.36
Projection
0.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Connor Wong (BOS) has averaged 0.36 runs per game across 22 games this season, trending up to 0.6 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 32% of games this season. Our model projects 0.44, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +201 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -287 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Connor Wong went over in 7 of 22 2026 games.

Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/2232%
1.51/225%

Share of 2026 games Wong finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.36

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
0.13
Away (14)
0.50
Home edge
-0.38

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-28vs CIN0Under
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs STL1Over
2026-04-15vs MIN0Under
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL1Over
2026-04-26vs BAL0Under
2026-04-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs HOU1Over
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-07vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL1Over
2026-05-18vs KC1Over
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE1Over
2026-05-31vs CLE2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Connor Wong’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.