1B · WSH
Curtis Mead — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Curtis Mead (WSH) has averaged 0.55 runs per game across 47 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.7 over the last 10. 43% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.55, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Curtis Mead went over in 20 of 47 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/47 | 43% |
| 1.5 | 4/47 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Mead finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Curtis Mead’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.