EdgeTake

1B · WSH

Curtis Mead — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
47
Total Bases
67
Per Game
1.43
Projection
1.66
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Curtis Mead (WSH) has averaged 1.43 total bases per game across 47 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 2.4 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 34% of games. Our projection of 1.66 sits above the market line of 1.52.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +150 at BetRivers — model 39% to hit, -1.4% EV.

Over 1.5 +150 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -189 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Curtis Mead went over in 16 of 47 2026 games.

Our projection 1.66 vs market line 1.52 — edge +0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.524/4751%
1.516/4734%
2.58/4717%
3.57/4715%

Share of 2026 games Mead finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.40
Season avg
1.43

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
1.42
Away (21)
1.43
Home edge
-0.01

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-31vs PHI0Under
2026-04-01vs PHI0Under
2026-04-04vs LAD2Over
2026-04-05vs LAD0Under
2026-04-06vs STL2Over
2026-04-07vs STL6Over
2026-04-10vs MIL1Under
2026-04-11vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs MIL1Under
2026-04-13vs PIT0Under
2026-04-14vs PIT0Under
2026-04-15vs PIT2Over
2026-04-16vs PIT0Under
2026-04-17vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs SF0Under
2026-04-19vs SF4Over
2026-04-21vs ATL4Over
2026-04-22vs ATL0Under
2026-04-23vs ATL0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-26vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs NYM8Over
2026-04-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-01vs MIL0Under
2026-05-02vs MIL2Over
2026-05-03vs MIL0Under
2026-05-05vs MIN3Over
2026-05-06vs MIN0Under
2026-05-07vs MIN1Under
2026-05-08vs MIA2Over
2026-05-10vs MIA0Under
2026-05-13vs CIN1Under
2026-05-15vs BAL1Under
2026-05-16vs BAL0Under
2026-05-18vs NYM2Over
2026-05-20vs NYM1Under
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL5Over
2026-05-24vs ATL1Under
2026-05-25vs CLE8Over
2026-05-26vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs CLE1Under
2026-05-29vs SD5Over
2026-05-30vs SD2Over
2026-05-31vs SD0Under
2026-06-01vs MIA2Over
2026-06-02vs MIA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Curtis Mead’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.