EdgeTake

C · SF

Daniel Susac — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Runs
4
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.32
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 20 games this season, Daniel Susac (SF) is averaging 0.2 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 15% of games this season. Our projection of 0.32 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +278 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -325 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Daniel Susac went over in 3 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.32 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.18.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/2015%
1.51/205%

Share of 2026 games Susac finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.33
Away (14)
0.14
Home edge
+0.19

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-03vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs PHI1Over
2026-04-11vs BAL0Under
2026-04-12vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs CIN0Under
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-17vs WSH0Under
2026-04-18vs WSH0Under
2026-04-19vs WSH0Under
2026-05-16vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS1Over
2026-05-24vs CWS0Under
2026-05-25vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs COL2Over
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Daniel Susac’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.