C · TEX
Danny Jansen — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Danny Jansen (TEX) sits at 0.28 runs per game through 40 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.4 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 28% of games. Our projection of 0.41 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Danny Jansen went over in 11 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/40 | 28% |
| 1.5 | 0/40 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Jansen finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Danny Jansen’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.