C · TEX
Danny Jansen — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Danny Jansen (TEX) has averaged 0.95 total bases per game across 40 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.9 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 48% of games. We project 1.13, ahead of the 0.76 market line.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -136 at Caesars — model 55% to hit, -4.7% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Danny Jansen went over in 19 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 1.13 vs market line 0.76 — edge +0.37.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/40 | 48% |
| 1.5 | 9/40 | 23% |
| 2.5 | 4/40 | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3/40 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Jansen finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BAL | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Danny Jansen’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.