SS · ATH
Darell Hernaiz — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Darell Hernaiz (ATH) sits at 0.72 hits per game through 39 games, tracking close to that at 0.7 over the last 10. 51% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.83 sits above the market line of 0.64.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, -0.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Darell Hernaiz went over in 20 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.83 vs market line 0.64 — edge +0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/39 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 6/39 | 15% |
| 2.5 | 2/39 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Hernaiz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Darell Hernaiz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.