EdgeTake

SS · ATH

Darell Hernaiz — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.03
Projection
0.06
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Darell Hernaiz (ATH) has averaged 0.03 home runs per game across 39 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 3% of games this season. Our model projects 0.06, below the market line of 1.15.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1100 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Darell Hernaiz went over in 1 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.06 vs market line 1.15 — edge -1.09.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/393%

Share of 2026 games Hernaiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.03

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.04
Away (16)
0.00
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-29vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs NYY0Under
2026-04-09vs NYY0Under
2026-04-12vs NYM0Under
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-16vs TEX0Under
2026-04-19vs CWS1Over
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-26vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE0Under
2026-05-05vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-19vs LAA0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA0Under
2026-05-21vs LAA0Under
2026-05-22vs LAA0Under
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-26vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Darell Hernaiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.