EdgeTake

RF · CLE

David Fry — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
36
Runs
12
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

David Fry (CLE) sits at 0.33 runs per game through 36 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 28% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.4, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +270 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -400 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), David Fry went over in 10 of 36 2026 games.

Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/3628%
1.52/366%

Share of 2026 games Fry finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.39
Away (18)
0.28
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAD0Under
2026-04-04vs CHC0Under
2026-04-05vs CHC0Under
2026-04-06vs KC0Under
2026-04-07vs KC0Under
2026-04-08vs KC1Over
2026-04-10vs ATL0Under
2026-04-11vs ATL0Under
2026-04-12vs ATL0Under
2026-04-13vs STL2Over
2026-04-14vs STL0Under
2026-04-19vs BAL2Over
2026-04-25vs TOR1Over
2026-04-26vs TOR0Under
2026-04-27vs TB1Over
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-04vs KC1Over
2026-05-05vs KC0Under
2026-05-06vs KC0Under
2026-05-08vs MIN0Under
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN1Over
2026-05-11vs LAA1Over
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN0Under
2026-05-18vs DET0Under
2026-05-20vs DET0Under
2026-05-22vs PHI0Under
2026-05-24vs PHI0Under
2026-05-25vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs WSH0Under
2026-05-30vs BOS0Under
2026-05-31vs BOS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See David Fry’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.