SS · MIL
David Hamilton — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 45 games this season, David Hamilton (MIL) is averaging 0.56 runs per game, trending up to 0.7 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 42% of games this season. We project 0.56, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), David Hamilton went over in 19 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/45 | 42% |
| 1.5 | 5/45 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Hamilton finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See David Hamilton’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.