EdgeTake

SS · MIL

David Hamilton — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
45
Stolen Bases
13
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.22
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

David Hamilton (MIL) sits at 0.29 stolen bases per game through 45 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 18% of games this season. We project 0.22, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +290 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), David Hamilton went over in 8 of 45 2026 games.

Our projection 0.22 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.28.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/4518%

Share of 2026 games Hamilton finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (24)
0.21
Away (21)
0.38
Home edge
-0.17

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS1Over
2026-03-28vs CWS2Over
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB1Over
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs KC0Under
2026-04-06vs BOS0Under
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-04-14vs TOR0Under
2026-04-15vs TOR0Under
2026-04-16vs TOR0Under
2026-04-17vs MIA0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA1Over
2026-04-21vs DET0Under
2026-04-22vs DET0Under
2026-04-23vs DET0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs PIT0Under
2026-04-26vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-04-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-01vs WSH2Over
2026-05-03vs WSH0Under
2026-05-04vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs SD1Over
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs CHC2Over
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-26vs STL0Under
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-31vs HOU3Over
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See David Hamilton’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.