EdgeTake

DH · SEA

Dominic Canzone — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Runs
20
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.48
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Dominic Canzone (SEA) has averaged 0.38 runs per game across 53 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 34% of games this season. Our projection of 0.48 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -211 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Dominic Canzone went over in 18 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/5334%
1.52/534%

Share of 2026 games Canzone finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.48
Away (22)
0.23
Home edge
+0.26

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs CLE2Over
2026-03-28vs CLE1Over
2026-03-29vs CLE0Under
2026-03-29vs CLE1Over
2026-03-31vs NYY0Under
2026-04-01vs NYY1Over
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-07vs TEX0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-11vs HOU1Over
2026-04-12vs HOU1Over
2026-04-12vs HOU0Under
2026-04-15vs SD0Under
2026-04-16vs SD0Under
2026-04-17vs SD0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX1Over
2026-04-21vs ATH1Over
2026-04-22vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-26vs STL0Under
2026-04-28vs MIN0Under
2026-04-29vs MIN1Over
2026-05-02vs KC0Under
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-05vs ATL1Over
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-08vs CWS0Under
2026-05-10vs CWS0Under
2026-05-12vs HOU0Under
2026-05-13vs HOU1Over
2026-05-14vs HOU0Under
2026-05-14vs HOU1Over
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS1Over
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC0Under
2026-05-23vs KC0Under
2026-05-24vs KC1Over
2026-05-26vs ATH1Over
2026-05-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs AZ1Over
2026-05-31vs AZ1Over
2026-06-02vs NYM0Under
2026-06-03vs NYM2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Dominic Canzone’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.