EdgeTake

CF · SF

Drew Gilbert — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Runs
12
Per Game
0.30
Projection
0.34
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 40 games this season, Drew Gilbert (SF) is averaging 0.3 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 28% of games this season. Our model projects 0.34, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +320 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -500 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Drew Gilbert went over in 11 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/4028%
1.51/403%

Share of 2026 games Gilbert finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.30

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.35
Away (23)
0.26
Home edge
+0.09

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN0Under
2026-04-17vs WSH2Over
2026-04-18vs WSH0Under
2026-04-19vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs MIA1Over
2026-04-25vs MIA1Over
2026-04-26vs MIA0Under
2026-04-28vs PHI0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI1Over
2026-04-30vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs TB0Under
2026-05-03vs TB0Under
2026-05-05vs SD0Under
2026-05-06vs SD1Over
2026-05-09vs PIT1Over
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs LAD1Over
2026-05-14vs LAD0Under
2026-05-15vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS1Over
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-24vs CWS0Under
2026-05-25vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ1Over
2026-05-31vs COL1Over
2026-05-31vs COL1Over
2026-06-01vs MIL0Under
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Drew Gilbert’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.