EdgeTake

C · WSH

Drew Millas — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
32
Hits
17
Per Game
0.53
Projection
0.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 32 games this season, Drew Millas (WSH) is averaging 0.53 hits per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 47% of those games. Our model projects 0.67, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +124 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, +4.4% EV.

Over 0.5 -160 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +124 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Drew Millas went over in 15 of 32 2026 games.

Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/3247%
1.52/326%
2.50/320%

Share of 2026 games Millas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.53

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.62
Away (19)
0.47
Home edge
+0.14

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs CHC0Under
2026-03-30vs PHI1Over
2026-04-01vs PHI1Over
2026-04-04vs LAD0Under
2026-04-06vs STL1Over
2026-04-08vs STL0Under
2026-04-10vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs MIL0Under
2026-04-14vs PIT0Under
2026-04-15vs PIT0Under
2026-04-16vs PIT2Over
2026-04-18vs SF1Over
2026-04-20vs ATL0Under
2026-04-21vs ATL1Over
2026-04-24vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-26vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs NYM1Over
2026-04-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-01vs MIL0Under
2026-05-06vs MIN2Over
2026-05-09vs MIA1Over
2026-05-10vs MIA0Under
2026-05-14vs CIN1Over
2026-05-15vs BAL0Under
2026-05-18vs NYM1Over
2026-05-19vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL1Over
2026-05-25vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs CLE1Over
2026-05-30vs SD1Over
2026-06-02vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Drew Millas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.