EdgeTake

2B · PHI

Edmundo Sosa — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
33
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.18
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Edmundo Sosa (PHI) sits at 0.09 home runs per game through 33 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. 9% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.18 comes in under the market line of 0.93.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Edmundo Sosa went over in 3 of 33 2026 games.

Our projection 0.18 vs market line 0.93 — edge -0.75.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/339%

Share of 2026 games Sosa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.09

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.11
Away (15)
0.07
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs TEX0Under
2026-03-29vs TEX0Under
2026-03-30vs WSH0Under
2026-04-01vs WSH0Under
2026-04-03vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs CHC0Under
2026-04-14vs CHC1Over
2026-04-15vs CHC0Under
2026-04-17vs ATL0Under
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-21vs CHC0Under
2026-04-22vs CHC0Under
2026-04-23vs CHC0Under
2026-04-26vs ATL0Under
2026-04-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-01vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs MIA0Under
2026-05-06vs ATH0Under
2026-05-07vs ATH0Under
2026-05-08vs COL0Under
2026-05-09vs COL0Under
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS0Under
2026-05-15vs PIT0Under
2026-05-18vs CIN0Under
2026-05-19vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs CIN1Over
2026-05-24vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD1Over
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Edmundo Sosa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.