EdgeTake

SS · CIN

Elly De La Cruz — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Runs
40
Per Game
0.69
Projection
0.6
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Elly De La Cruz (CIN) is averaging 0.69 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 52% of games this season. Our projection of 0.6 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Elly De La Cruz went over in 30 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.6 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.530/5852%
1.59/5816%

Share of 2026 games Cruz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.69

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.79
Away (29)
0.59
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS0Under
2026-03-28vs BOS1Over
2026-03-29vs BOS0Under
2026-03-30vs PIT0Under
2026-03-31vs PIT1Over
2026-04-01vs PIT1Over
2026-04-03vs TEX1Over
2026-04-04vs TEX1Over
2026-04-05vs TEX1Over
2026-04-06vs MIA1Over
2026-04-07vs MIA1Over
2026-04-08vs MIA1Over
2026-04-09vs MIA0Under
2026-04-10vs LAA1Over
2026-04-11vs LAA1Over
2026-04-12vs LAA2Over
2026-04-14vs SF0Under
2026-04-15vs SF2Over
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN1Over
2026-04-18vs MIN0Under
2026-04-19vs MIN2Over
2026-04-20vs TB0Under
2026-04-21vs TB3Over
2026-04-22vs TB0Under
2026-04-24vs DET1Over
2026-04-25vs DET2Over
2026-04-26vs DET0Under
2026-04-28vs COL2Over
2026-04-29vs COL0Under
2026-04-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT1Over
2026-05-03vs PIT0Under
2026-05-04vs CHC0Under
2026-05-05vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs CHC0Under
2026-05-08vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs HOU0Under
2026-05-10vs HOU2Over
2026-05-12vs WSH1Over
2026-05-13vs WSH1Over
2026-05-14vs WSH2Over
2026-05-15vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs CLE1Over
2026-05-17vs CLE1Over
2026-05-18vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs PHI1Over
2026-05-20vs PHI0Under
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs STL1Over
2026-05-25vs NYM0Under
2026-05-26vs NYM0Under
2026-05-27vs NYM1Over
2026-05-29vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-31vs ATL2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Elly De La Cruz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.