EdgeTake

SS · CIN

Elly De La Cruz — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
118
Per Game
2.03
Projection
1.81
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Elly De La Cruz (CIN) is averaging 2.03 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.6. 53% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.81, ahead of the 1.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +132 at DraftKings — model 43% to hit, -1.1% EV.

Over 1.5 +132 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -155 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Elly De La Cruz went over in 31 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.81 vs market line 1.5 — edge +0.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.542/5872%
1.531/5853%
2.521/5836%
3.512/5821%

Share of 2026 games Cruz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.60
Season avg
2.03

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
2.41
Away (29)
1.66
Home edge
+0.76

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS1Under
2026-03-28vs BOS4Over
2026-03-29vs BOS0Under
2026-03-30vs PIT1Under
2026-03-31vs PIT4Over
2026-04-01vs PIT1Under
2026-04-03vs TEX4Over
2026-04-04vs TEX1Under
2026-04-05vs TEX2Over
2026-04-06vs MIA3Over
2026-04-07vs MIA0Under
2026-04-08vs MIA0Under
2026-04-09vs MIA1Under
2026-04-10vs LAA4Over
2026-04-11vs LAA5Over
2026-04-12vs LAA5Over
2026-04-14vs SF1Under
2026-04-15vs SF4Over
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN2Over
2026-04-18vs MIN1Under
2026-04-19vs MIN2Over
2026-04-20vs TB1Under
2026-04-21vs TB9Over
2026-04-22vs TB0Under
2026-04-24vs DET2Over
2026-04-25vs DET4Over
2026-04-26vs DET1Under
2026-04-28vs COL6Over
2026-04-29vs COL0Under
2026-04-30vs COL1Under
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT2Over
2026-05-03vs PIT0Under
2026-05-04vs CHC3Over
2026-05-05vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs CHC2Over
2026-05-08vs HOU3Over
2026-05-09vs HOU2Over
2026-05-10vs HOU3Over
2026-05-12vs WSH2Over
2026-05-13vs WSH3Over
2026-05-14vs WSH3Over
2026-05-15vs CLE2Over
2026-05-16vs CLE1Under
2026-05-17vs CLE6Over
2026-05-18vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs PHI3Over
2026-05-20vs PHI0Under
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs STL5Over
2026-05-25vs NYM0Under
2026-05-26vs NYM3Over
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-29vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs ATL3Over
2026-05-31vs ATL2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Elly De La Cruz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.